On the back of their result in Greece, Malta will have every belief that they can earn a result against Republic of Ireland. Nevertheless, we expect Kenny's side to do enough to grind their way to a narrow win ahead of attempting to upset the odds in Euro 2024 qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Malta had a probability of 20.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Republic of Ireland in this match.

Result
Malta	Draw	Republic of Ireland
20.26% ( -17.22)	22.72% ( -3.35)	57.02% ( 20.57)

Both teams to score 53% (

-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.78% (

4.28)

46.22% (

-4.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48% (

3.91)

68.51% (

-3.91)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.08% (

-10.69)

36.92% (

10.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.29% (

-12.37)

73.71% (

12.37)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.02% (

10.85)

15.97% (

-10.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.72% (

16.85)

45.28% (

-16.85)

Score Analysis

Malta 20.26%

Republic of Ireland 57.01%

Draw 22.72%

Malta	Draw	Republic of Ireland
1-0 @ 5.88% ( -3.54) 2-1 @ 5.37% ( -2.92) 2-0 @ 2.93% ( -3.37) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( -1.91) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.8) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( -1.84) Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.26%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( -1.62) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -1.14) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.53) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.72%	0-1 @ 10.81% ( 1.55) 0-2 @ 9.92% ( 3.83) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 1.73) 0-3 @ 6.07% ( 3.39) 1-3 @ 6.04% ( 2.47) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.62) 0-4 @ 2.78% ( 1.9) 1-4 @ 2.77% ( 1.6) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.59) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.79) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.71) Other @ 2.31% Total : 57.01%