International Friendly

Nov 17, 2022 at 5pm UK

Ta'Qali National Stadium

Malta
2 - 2
Greece

Degabriele (54'), Teuma (67' pen.)
Camenzuli (27'), Pepe (41'), Mbong (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bakasetas (39'), Fountas (86')
Siopis (36'), Mantalos (67'), Koulierakis (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Malta and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Israel 2-1 Malta
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Greece

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Greece 3-1 N. Ireland
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Greece	0	0	0
3	Cyprus	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

Any new manager bounce that takes effect for Malta this week is unlikely to count for much against an in-form Greece side, even if Poyet is without most of his first-choice backline. There is no consistent international goalscorer in the visitors' ranks - Bakasetas is the highest scorer in the current squad with only eight strikes - but the Pirate Ship should still prove far too strong for Malta here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Malta had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Malta win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Malta	Draw	Greece
24.35% ( 0.11)	22.89% ( 0.01)	52.76% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 58.04% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.82% (

0.07)

42.18% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.41% (

0.07)

64.58% (

-0.07)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.1% (

0.13)

30.9% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.81% (

0.15)

67.19% (

-0.15)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.99% (

-0.01)

16.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.65% (

-0.03)

45.35% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Malta 24.35%

Greece 52.76%

Draw 22.88%

Malta	Draw	Greece
2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 24.35%	1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.88%	1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.73% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 52.76%