MX23RW : Thursday, March 27 17:47:20| >> :600:14250514:14250514:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Ukraine national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Antona Malatinskeho
Malta national football team

Ukraine
1 - 0
Malta

Tsygankov (72' pen.)
Vanat (43'), Malinovskyi (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Borg (51'), Borg (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Ukraine and Malta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: N. Macedonia 2-3 Ukraine
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Malta

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Malta 0-4 England
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Ukraine 3-0 Malta

 Ukraine may need a lesson or two in keeping the back door shut, but Malta's goal-shy charges are unlikely to trouble Rebrov's backline in what should be a foregone conclusion from the first whistle. With a taste for goals and plenty of attackers in fine form for the national team, we can envisage Ukraine coming up with another trio of goals to maintain their push for a place in Germany. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Malta had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Malta win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result
UkraineDrawMalta
43.93% (-19.346 -19.35) 21.71% (-1.05 -1.05) 34.36% (20.394 20.39)
Both teams to score 69.78% (28.939 28.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16% (26.159 26.16)29.83% (-26.162 -26.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.01% (26.093 26.09)50.99% (-26.096 -26.1)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (2.757 2.76)14.5% (-2.761 -2.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (5.078 5.08)42.49% (-5.081 -5.08)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (32.252 32.25)18.38% (-32.254 -32.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (35.576 35.58)49.52% (-35.579 -35.58)
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 43.93%
    Malta 34.36%
    Draw 21.71%
UkraineDrawMalta
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.761 -0.76)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.043 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.15% (-10.204 -10.2)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-8.511 -8.51)
3-2 @ 4.59% (2.76 2.76)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-4.7 -4.7)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.255 0.26)
4-2 @ 2.22% (1.413 1.41)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-1.925 -1.93)
4-3 @ 1.25% (1.069 1.07)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.18 0.18)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-1.723 -1.72)
2-2 @ 7.13% (4.006 4.01)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-6.074 -6.07)
3-3 @ 2.59% (2.176 2.18)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 7.38% (3.828 3.83)
0-1 @ 4.51% (-1.433 -1.43)
1-3 @ 4.17% (3.362 3.36)
2-3 @ 4.03% (3.317 3.32)
0-2 @ 3.82% (1.8 1.8)
0-3 @ 2.16% (1.699 1.7)
1-4 @ 1.77% (1.628 1.63)
2-4 @ 1.71% (1.584 1.58)
3-4 @ 1.1% (1.026 1.03)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.836 0.84)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.36%

How you voted: Ukraine vs Malta

Ukraine
91.5%
Draw
6.4%
Malta
2.1%
47
rhs 2.0
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