Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

N. Macedonia
2 - 1
Malta

Elmas (66'), Churlinov (72')
Bardhi (45+3'), Alioski (47'), Miovski (60'), Atanasov (90+7')
Milevski (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yankam (85')
Kristensen (44'), Teuma (63'), Borg (89'), Attard (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between North Macedonia and Malta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

All competitions

Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-3 Azerbaijan
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Malta

All competitions

Last Game: Malta 0-1 Rep. Ireland
Sunday, November 20 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

We said: North Macedonia 3-1 Malta

A fresh start in 2023 should see North Macedonia back to winning ways on the opening day of their Group C campaign. While Malta have made some steps in the right direction of late, the home side have much more quality to call upon - not to mention experience at the top level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Malta had a probability of 12.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.

Result
North Macedonia	Draw	Malta
67.06% ( 1.76)	20.15% ( -0.41)	12.79% ( -1.35)

Both teams to score 45.12% (

-2.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.61% (

-1.18)

48.39% (

1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.48% (

-1.09)

70.52% (

1.09)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.5% (

0.16)

13.5% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.47% (

0.32)

40.53% (

-0.32)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.16% (

-2.82)

47.84% (

2.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.89% (

-2.16)

83.11% (

2.16)

Score Analysis

North Macedonia 67.06%

Malta 12.79%

Draw 20.15%

North Macedonia	Draw	Malta
2-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.76) 1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.7) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.56% Total : 67.06%	1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.15%	0-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.76% Total : 12.79%