Luxembourg will expect to win as well as bringing some of their key players back up to full sharpness ahead of a very important week, which could make or break their qualifying campaign. Malta will hope to put up another respectable showing after two narrow defeats to sides who reached the last Euro finals, and they could prove frustrating opponents for much of the evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malta in this match.

Result
Luxembourg	Draw	Malta
28.44% ( 0.01)	25.26% ( -0)	46.29% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.83% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.58% (

0.01)

49.42% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.54% (

0.01)

71.46% (

-0.01)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

0.01)

31.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.06% (

0.01)

67.93% (

-0.02)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.63% (

-0)

21.36% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.67% (

-0)

54.33% (

Score Analysis

Luxembourg 28.44%

Malta 46.28%

Draw 25.25%

Luxembourg	Draw	Malta
1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.44%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.28%