The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Malta and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Sunday's European Championship qualifying clash with Malta.
Form, Standings, Stats
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: N. Macedonia 2-1 Malta
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Malta 0-2 Italy
Italy were unimpressive as an attacking force in their Euro qualifying opener, but a number of fringe players - such as Gnonto, Grifo and Politano - could now come to the fore against less demanding opponents. Malta may have shown signs of improvement, but denying the Azzurri victory this weekend is a feat beyond their wildest dreams. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 78.99%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 6.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.84%) and 0-1 (11.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Italy in this match.
Result | ||
Malta | Draw | Italy |
6.76% ( 0.27) | 14.25% ( 0.53) | 78.99% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 40.78% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.42% ( -1.45) | 40.58% ( 1.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.04% ( -1.5) | 62.96% ( 1.5) |
Malta Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.46% ( -0.21) | 55.53% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.8% ( -0.12) | 88.2% ( 0.12) |
Italy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.71% ( -0.51) | 8.29% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.07% ( -1.28) | 28.93% ( 1.29) |
Score Analysis |
Malta 6.76%
Italy 78.98%
Draw 14.25%
Malta | Draw | Italy |
1-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.07% Total : 6.76% | 1-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 14.25% | 0-2 @ 14.27% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 11.84% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 7.38% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 6.97% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 4.34% ( -0.18) 0-5 @ 3.67% ( -0.22) 1-5 @ 2.16% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 0-6 @ 1.53% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.64% Total : 78.98% |
How you voted: Malta vs Italy
Malta
12.4%Draw
7.2%Italy
80.4%97
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2015 7.45pm
Group H
Italy
1-0
Malta
Oct 13, 2014 7.45pm
Group H
Malta
0-1
Italy
Mar 26, 2013 7.45pm
Sep 11, 2012 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-30 06:05:35
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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