FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff2 - 2Leeds
The Match
Match Report
Substitutes Rodrigo and Sonny Perkins help Leeds United come from two goals down to rescue a 2-2 draw against Cardiff City in the FA Cup third round on Sunday.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Cardiff City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Cardiff
Sunday, January 1 at 12pm in Championship
Sunday, January 1 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 West Ham
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Goals
for
for
25
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Leeds United |
30.37% ( 0.17) | 25.56% ( 0.54) | 44.07% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 54.01% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
