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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 52.85%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
24.47% ( 1.99) | 22.68% ( 1) | 52.85% ( -2.98) |
Both teams to score 58.89% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.89% ( -2.44) | 41.11% ( 2.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.49% ( -2.53) | 63.51% ( 2.53) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.77% ( 0.32) | 30.23% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.6% ( 0.38) | 66.4% ( -0.37) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.4% ( -1.81) | 15.6% ( 1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.42% ( -3.47) | 44.58% ( 3.48) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.65) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.02% Total : 24.47% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.42) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.45) 0-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.41) 0-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.36) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.23) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.23) Other @ 3.68% Total : 52.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |