MX23RW : Thursday, October 10 13:31:51| >> :120:7010:7010:
FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Hertingfordbury Park
Gateshead

Hednesford
vs.
Gateshead

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Hednesford Town and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Hednesford 1-0 Shifnal Town FC
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Tamworth 2-1 Gateshead
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in National League

We say: Hednesford Town 0-4 Gateshead

While Hednesford have acquired players who have National League experience, this is a major step-up against a team on the up in Gateshead. With the Pitmen having struggled in the final third of late, we expect Gateshead to record a routine win to book their place in the first round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gateshead win with a probability of 79.69%. A draw has a probability of 13.2% and a win for Hednesford Town has a probability of 7.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win is 0-2 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-3 (10.87%) and 0-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.21%), while for a Hednesford Town win it is 1-0 (2.27%).

Result
Hednesford TownDrawGateshead
7.15% (-0.3969 -0.4) 13.15% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 79.69% (0.432 0.43)
Both teams to score 47.54% (-2.181 -2.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.83% (-1.555 -1.56)33.17% (1.551 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.08% (-1.804 -1.8)54.91% (1.8 1.8)
Hednesford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.85% (-2.196 -2.2)49.15% (2.192 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.94% (-1.609 -1.61)84.06% (1.607 1.61)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.49% (-0.244 -0.24)6.51% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.7% (-0.664 -0.66)24.29% (0.661 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Hednesford Town 7.15%
    Gateshead 79.68%
    Draw 13.15%
Hednesford TownDrawGateshead
1-0 @ 2.27% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 2.21% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 7.15%
1-1 @ 6.21% (0.045 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.2% (0.255 0.26)
2-2 @ 3.01% (-0.214 -0.21)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 13.15%
0-2 @ 11.93% (0.65 0.65)
0-3 @ 10.87% (0.45 0.45)
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.587 0.59)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.72% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-4 @ 7.43% (0.209 0.21)
1-4 @ 5.27% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-5 @ 4.06% (0.06 0.06)
1-5 @ 2.88% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.235 -0.24)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-6 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
1-6 @ 1.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-5 @ 1.02% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 79.68%

Who will win Saturday's FA Cup clash between Hednesford and Gateshead?

Hednesford Town
Draw
Gateshead
Hednesford Town
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Gateshead
0.0%
0
rhs 2.0
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3Arsenal7520156917
4Chelsea7421168814
5Aston Villa7421129314
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton73311310312
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle733187112
8Fulham7322108211
9Tottenham HotspurSpurs7313148610
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest724176110
11Brentford73131313010
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham72231011-18
13Bournemouth7223810-28
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd722358-38
15Leicester CityLeicester7133912-36
16Everton7124715-85
17Ipswich TownIpswich7043614-84
18Crystal Palace7034510-53
19Southampton7016415-111
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves7016921-121


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