MX23RW : Monday, November 4 13:36:33| >> :120:59230:59230:
FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Keys Park
Gateshead

Hednesford
1 - 1
Gateshead

Stevenson (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Newton (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Hednesford Town and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Hednesford 1-0 Shifnal Town FC
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Tamworth 2-1 Gateshead
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Hednesford Town 0-4 Gateshead

While Hednesford have acquired players who have National League experience, this is a major step-up against a team on the up in Gateshead. With the Pitmen having struggled in the final third of late, we expect Gateshead to record a routine win to book their place in the first round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 80.26%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Hednesford Town had a probability of 6.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.94%) and 0-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Hednesford Town win it was 1-0 (2.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Hednesford TownDrawGateshead
6.91% (-0.2441 -0.24) 12.84% (-0.318 -0.32) 80.26% (0.565 0.56)
Both teams to score 47.5% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.48% (0.64700000000001 0.65)32.52% (-0.64299999999999 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.83% (0.745 0.74)54.17% (-0.741 -0.74)
Hednesford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.67% (-0.175 -0.17)49.33% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.81% (-0.124 -0.12)84.19% (0.12700000000001 0.13)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.73% (0.244 0.24)6.27% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.37% (0.666 0.67)23.63% (-0.663 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Hednesford Town 6.91%
    Gateshead 80.24%
    Draw 12.84%
Hednesford TownDrawGateshead
1-0 @ 2.19% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-1 @ 2.14% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 6.91%
1-1 @ 6.05% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.09% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 12.84%
0-2 @ 11.85% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 10.94% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.38% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 7.74% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-4 @ 7.58% (0.156 0.16)
1-4 @ 5.36% (0.084 0.08)
0-5 @ 4.2% (0.142 0.14)
1-5 @ 2.97% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.94% (0.091 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.89% (0.02 0.02)
1-6 @ 1.37% (0.058 0.06)
2-5 @ 1.05% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 80.24%

How you voted: Hednesford vs Gateshead

Hednesford Town
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Gateshead
60.0%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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