FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK

Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
2 - 1
Reading

Austin (69'), Morgan-Smith (82')
Simpson (90+10')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Puscas (45')
Holmes (39'), Camara (52'), Rinomhota (74'), Cabral (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Kidderminster Harriers 0-2 Reading

Given Reading's recent struggles and the high chance of Veljko Paunovic fielding a young side, an upset is not off the cards here. The non-league outfit will still be big underdogs whatever team the Royals put out though and we think a famous victory for Kiddy will not quite happen. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Reading
34.77%	24.94%	40.28%

Both teams to score 57.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.38%

45.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.06%

67.94%

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51%

25.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.66%

60.33%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.45%

22.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.86%

56.13%

Score Analysis

Kidderminster Harriers 34.77%

Reading 40.28%

Draw 24.94%

Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Reading
2-1 @ 8% 1-0 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.77%	1-1 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94%	1-2 @ 8.72% 0-1 @ 8.56% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 4.33% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.29% Total : 40.28%