Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Marine AFC had a probability of 14.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Marine AFC win it was 2-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.