EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Harrogate3 - 5Accrington
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Harrogate Town and Accrington Stanley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Forest Green
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
43.69% ( 0.55) | 25.78% ( -0) | 30.53% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 53.41% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.46% ( -0.22) | 50.53% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.54% ( -0.19) | 72.45% ( 0.19) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.97% ( 0.17) | 23.03% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.15% ( 0.25) | 56.84% ( -0.25) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.39% ( -0.49) | 30.6% ( 0.49) |