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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 54.87%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Stockport County |
23.13% ( 0.04) | 22% ( 0.02) | 54.87% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 59.65% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.63% ( -0.05) | 39.38% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.29% ( -0.05) | 61.72% ( 0.06) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.62% ( 0) | 30.38% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.43% ( 0) | 66.58% ( -0) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.68% ( -0.03) | 14.33% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.84% ( -0.07) | 42.16% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Stockport County |
2-1 @ 6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 23.14% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
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