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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Mansfield Town

Harrogate
1 - 4
Mansfield

Sutton (80')
Ramsay (66')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Brunt (8'), Akins (36', 38'), Maris (73')
MacDonald (69'), Johnson (83'), Brunt (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Harrogate Town 0-2 Mansfield Town

Mansfield Town have flown out of the blocks this season and will fancy their chances against a Harrogate side who have struggled to grind out results on home turf. While the Sulphurites have enjoyed the better of this fixture, we are tipping Clough's men to pick up where they left off at the weekend and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawMansfield Town
21.31% (-0.973 -0.97) 21.97% (-0.54 -0.54) 56.72% (1.516 1.52)
Both teams to score 57.14% (0.447 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.49% (1.244 1.24)41.51% (-1.244 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.09% (1.25 1.25)63.91% (-1.249 -1.25)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (-0.19699999999999 -0.2)33.2% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (-0.219 -0.22)69.81% (0.22000000000001 0.22)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.54% (0.92 0.92)14.46% (-0.92 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.57% (1.753 1.75)42.42% (-1.751 -1.75)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 21.31%
    Mansfield Town 56.72%
    Draw 21.97%
Harrogate TownDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.196 -0.2)
1-0 @ 5.29% (-0.333 -0.33)
2-0 @ 2.92% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.07% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 21.31%
1-1 @ 10.23% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.275 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.97%
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-2 @ 8.98% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 6.38% (0.227 0.23)
0-3 @ 5.79% (0.236 0.24)
2-3 @ 3.52% (0.106 0.11)
1-4 @ 3.08% (0.204 0.2)
0-4 @ 2.8% (0.199 0.2)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.104 0.1)
1-5 @ 1.19% (0.115 0.12)
0-5 @ 1.08% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 56.72%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Mansfield

Harrogate Town
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Mansfield Town
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Mansfield
1-2
Harrogate
Swan (67')
Kilgour (27' og.), Daly (39')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Harrogate
3-0
Mansfield
Pattison (5'), Armstrong (19', 45+3')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Harrogate
0-0
Mansfield
McArdle (41'), Diarra (88')
O'Toole (37'), Clarke (46')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Mansfield
1-3
Harrogate
Oates (3')
Nartey (9'), Gordon (36'), Lapslie (38'), Maris (90+5')
Clarke (73'), Quinn (74')
Armstrong (5'), Muldoon (45+2'), Thomson (81')
Page (41'), Burrell (66'), Falkingham (70'), Diamond (88')
Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Harrogate
3-1
Mansfield
Orsi-Dadamo (44', 53', 69')
Power (24'), Sheron (45'), Pattison (51'), Thomson (68')
Lapslie (66')
rhs 2.0
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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