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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Mansfield Town

Harrogate
1 - 4
Mansfield

Sutton (80')
Ramsay (66')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Brunt (8'), Akins (36', 38'), Maris (73')
MacDonald (69'), Johnson (83'), Brunt (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Harrogate Town 0-2 Mansfield Town

Mansfield Town have flown out of the blocks this season and will fancy their chances against a Harrogate side who have struggled to grind out results on home turf. While the Sulphurites have enjoyed the better of this fixture, we are tipping Clough's men to pick up where they left off at the weekend and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawMansfield Town
21.31% (-0.973 -0.97) 21.97% (-0.54 -0.54) 56.72% (1.516 1.52)
Both teams to score 57.14% (0.447 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.49% (1.244 1.24)41.51% (-1.244 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.09% (1.25 1.25)63.91% (-1.249 -1.25)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (-0.19699999999999 -0.2)33.2% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (-0.219 -0.22)69.81% (0.22000000000001 0.22)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.54% (0.92 0.92)14.46% (-0.92 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.57% (1.753 1.75)42.42% (-1.751 -1.75)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 21.31%
    Mansfield Town 56.72%
    Draw 21.97%
Harrogate TownDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.196 -0.2)
1-0 @ 5.29% (-0.333 -0.33)
2-0 @ 2.92% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.07% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 21.31%
1-1 @ 10.23% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.275 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.97%
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-2 @ 8.98% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 6.38% (0.227 0.23)
0-3 @ 5.79% (0.236 0.24)
2-3 @ 3.52% (0.106 0.11)
1-4 @ 3.08% (0.204 0.2)
0-4 @ 2.8% (0.199 0.2)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.104 0.1)
1-5 @ 1.19% (0.115 0.12)
0-5 @ 1.08% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 56.72%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Mansfield

Harrogate Town
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Mansfield Town
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Mansfield
1-2
Harrogate
Swan (67')
Kilgour (27' og.), Daly (39')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Harrogate
3-0
Mansfield
Pattison (5'), Armstrong (19', 45+3')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Harrogate
0-0
Mansfield
McArdle (41'), Diarra (88')
O'Toole (37'), Clarke (46')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Mansfield
1-3
Harrogate
Oates (3')
Nartey (9'), Gordon (36'), Lapslie (38'), Maris (90+5')
Clarke (73'), Quinn (74')
Armstrong (5'), Muldoon (45+2'), Thomson (81')
Page (41'), Burrell (66'), Falkingham (70'), Diamond (88')
Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Harrogate
3-1
Mansfield
Orsi-Dadamo (44', 53', 69')
Power (24'), Sheron (45'), Pattison (51'), Thomson (68')
Lapslie (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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