We said: Sheffield United 2-1 Wrexham
Wrexham showed their credentials against Sheffield United last time out, and we are fully expecting the Welsh outfit to cause more problems on Tuesday night. It is difficult to back against the high-flying Championship side at home, though, and we are tipping them to advance to the fifth round of the competition.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Wrexham had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Wrexham win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.