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Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 31
Feb 4, 2023 at 5.20pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Altrincham
1 - 2
Wrexham

Welch-Hayes (82')
Hulme (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Palmer (60'), O'Connell (85')
O'Connor (3'), Young (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Altrincham and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Altrincham 0-2 Boreham Wood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 0-3 Wrexham

Wrexham displayed that they have what it takes to go toe-to-toe with a promotion-chasing Championship side last weekend, so they should have no trouble sweeping Altrincham aside. Mullin has been in inspired form, and he is likely to get in on the act again, in what should be a resounding victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Altrincham win it was 2-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
AltrinchamDrawWrexham
22.25% (0.035 0.04) 22.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 54.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.82% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11% (-0.052 -0.05)43.89% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)66.28% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.66% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)15.85% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.95% (-0.07 -0.07)45.05% (0.067 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 22.25%
    Wrexham 54.98%
    Draw 22.76%
AltrinchamDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 5.83% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.81% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.16% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 22.25%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37%
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 9.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 6.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 54.98%

How you voted: Altrincham vs Wrexham

Altrincham
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Wrexham
66.7%
12
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Wrexham
4-0
Altrincham
Mullin (31'), Palmer (33', 64'), Jones (78')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Wrexham
4-0
Altrincham
Davies (2'), Mullin (28', 33'), Palmer (35')
Young (56'), Jones (72')

Jones (40'), Osborne (65')
Dec 28, 2021 3pm
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288


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