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Millwall logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Sheffield United logo

Millwall
0 - 2
Sheff Utd


McNamara (18')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Jebbison (23'), Bogle (36')
Bogle (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Millwall and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Rotherham
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Sheff Utd
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-1 Sheffield United

We expect both sides to rotate heavily on Saturday, and although the visitors have been stronger in the Championship this season, injuries have severely hit their squad depth, and we see Millwall's changed XI prevailing as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawSheffield United
41.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 28.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 30.03% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.15% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.28% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)59.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.98% (-0.023 -0.02)80.02% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)28.15% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)63.84% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.77% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.46% (-0.012 -0.01)72.54% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 41.83%
    Sheffield United 30.02%
    Draw 28.13%
MillwallDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 12.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 41.83%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 10.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 5.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 30.02%

How you voted: Millwall vs Sheff Utd

Millwall
43.1%
Draw
23.1%
Sheffield United
33.8%
65
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Sheff Utd
2-0
Millwall
Ndiaye (7'), Berge (22')
Clark (82'), Norrington-Davies (90+3'), Foderingham (90+4')

Bennett (45'), McNamara (90+3')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Sheff Utd
1-2
Millwall
Sharp (45' pen.)
Gibbs-White (34'), Stevens (82'), Norwood (90+6')
Gibbs-White (54')
Wallace (11'), Cooper (90+2')
Saville (67')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Sheff Utd
1-1
Millwall
Madine (51')
Fleck (62')
Egan (85')
Cooper (95')
Wallace (59'), Cooper (95')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
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7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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