MX23RW : Monday, May 12 11:09:49| >> :120:11397:11397:
Southampton logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Walsall

Southampton
4 - 0
Walsall

Fraser (6', 68'), Mara (58'), Adams (78')
Amo-Ameyaw (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Southampton and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Southampton
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-6 Walsall
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Southampton 3-1 Walsall

Both sides have bigger promotion fish to fry in the coming months, but if the visitors' recent offensive exploits are anything to go by, Walsall ought to give an injury-hit Southampton a scare or two. However, Sadler's side have been decimated by fitness concerns of their own, and even if Saints boss Martin rings the changes, the in-form hosts should prove too strong for their League Two counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Walsall win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawWalsall
63.31% (-0.438 -0.44) 19.08% (0.193 0.19) 17.61% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 60.97% (-0.233 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.51% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)33.49% (0.515 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.72% (-0.596 -0.6)55.28% (0.59 0.59)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.88% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)10.12% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.7% (-0.584 -0.58)33.29% (0.579 0.58)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)32.16% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)68.65% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 63.31%
    Walsall 17.61%
    Draw 19.08%
SouthamptonDrawWalsall
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.45% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.4% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.24% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.74% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.4% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 63.31%
1-1 @ 8.46% (0.122 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.086 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.08%
1-2 @ 4.8% (0.061 0.06)
0-1 @ 3.69% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.09% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 17.61%

How you voted: Southampton vs Walsall

Southampton
Draw
Walsall
Southampton
83.3%
Draw
7.1%
Walsall
9.5%
42
Head to Head
May 7, 2011 3pm
Southampton
3-1
Walsall
Connolly (29'), Oxlade-Chamberlain (68')
Jaidi (69')
Gray (45')
Richards (70'), Gray (78')
Mar 1, 2011 3pm
Walsall
1-0
Southampton
Macken (69')

Chaplow (45'), Hammond (90')
Feb 27, 2010 3pm
Southampton
5-1
Walsall
Lambert (61'), Puncheon (8'), Lallana (89'), Barnard (33', 36')
Richards (3')
Westlake (40'), Deeney (90')
Dec 5, 2009 3pm
Walsall
1-3
Southampton
Byfield (66')
Bradley (39'), Deeney (41'), Weston (69'), Hughes (76')
Lambert (65'), Hammond (38'), Connolly (32')
Harding (63'), Jaidi (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool36258383374683
2Arsenal361814466333368
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle362061068452366
4Manchester CityMan City36198967432465
5Chelsea36189962431963
6Aston Villa3618995649763
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest361881056441262
8Brentford361671363531055
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton36141395956355
10Bournemouth3614111155431253
11Fulham36149135150151
12Crystal Palace361213114648-249
13Everton36915123944-542
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36125195164-1341
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham361010164259-1740
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd36109174253-1139
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs36115206359438
RIpswich TownIpswich36410223577-4222
RLeicester CityLeicester3657243178-4722
RSouthampton3626282582-5712


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