MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 12:59:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Southampton
2 - 1
Plymouth

Alcaraz (56'), Adams (63')
Smallbone (40'), Manning (44'), Alcaraz (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hardie (90+1')
Mumba (13'), Edwards (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Southampton and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 5-0 Swansea
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 4-1 Plymouth Argyle

With Plymouth having collected points in their recent matches, the pressure is off to a certain extent. However, Southampton look unbeatable at present and, while we expect the visitors to be competitive for a time, the home side should eventually cruise to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 67.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
SouthamptonDrawPlymouth Argyle
67.28% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 17.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 14.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.57% (0.0039999999999907 0)33.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.78% (0.0039999999999978 0)55.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.83% (0.010000000000005 0.01)9.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)31.07% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)35.39% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)72.16% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 67.28%
    Plymouth Argyle 14.82%
    Draw 17.91%
SouthamptonDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.41% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.38%
5-1 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-2 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.82%
Total : 67.28%
1-1 @ 8.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 3.24%
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 17.91%
1-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 3.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 14.82%

How you voted: Southampton vs Plymouth

Southampton
74.6%
Draw
5.6%
Plymouth Argyle
19.7%
71
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Plymouth
1-2
Southampton
Hardie (51')
Scarr (10'), Hardie (58')
Tella (49'), Adams (90+4')
Armstrong (30'), Charles (42'), Manning (74'), Stephens (90+1')
May 2, 2011 3pm
Plymouth
1-3
Southampton
Bolasie (90')
Walton (52')
Dickson (49'), Lambert (45', 59')
Jaidi (45')
Dec 26, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Southampton
Summerfield (52' pen.), Fallon (38')
MacLean (79')

Davis (51'), Lancashire (51'), Skacel (51')
Nov 25, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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