Championship

Championship | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
5 - 0
Swansea

Aribo (17'), Edozie (48'), Fraser (74', 87'), Adams (90+3')
Bednarek (34'), Aribo (38')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cullen (24'), Tymon (55'), Fulton (56'), Allen (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Preston
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Southampton 2-1 Swansea City

Despite enjoying a successful weekend, we think that Swansea could fall short against their promotion-chasing hosts, who should have enough quality to edge out the visitors and record a fifth consecutive home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Swansea City
50.23%	22.44%	27.33% ( -0)

Both teams to score 62.68% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.61% (

37.39% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.39% (

0.01)

59.61% (

-0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.84% (

15.16% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.24% (

43.76% (

-0.01)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.88% (

26.12% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.81% (

61.19% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Southampton 50.23%

Swansea City 27.33%

Draw 22.43%

Southampton	Draw	Swansea City
2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.95% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.81% 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.04% Total : 50.23%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.43%	1-2 @ 6.73% 0-1 @ 5.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 1.6% 1-4 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.33%