Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton5 - 0Swansea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Preston
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Southampton 2-1 Swansea City
Despite enjoying a successful weekend, we think that Swansea could fall short against their promotion-chasing hosts, who should have enough quality to edge out the visitors and record a fifth consecutive home victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Swansea City |
| 50.23% | 22.44% | 27.33% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 62.68% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.61% ( 0) | 37.39% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.39% ( 0.01) | 59.61% ( -0.01) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.84% ( 0) | 15.16% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.24% ( 0) | 43.76% ( -0.01) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( 0) | 26.12% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.81% ( 0) | 61.19% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Southampton 50.23%
Swansea City 27.33%
Draw 22.43%
| Southampton | Draw | Swansea City |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.95% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.81% 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.04% Total : 50.23% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.43% | 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-1 @ 5.32% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 1.6% 1-4 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.33% |
How you voted: Southampton vs Swansea
Southampton
84.2%Draw
7.9%Swansea City
7.9%38
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Aug 29, 2020 1pm
May 8, 2018 7.45pm
Aug 12, 2017 3pm
Form Guide
