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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Blackburn logo

Southampton
4 - 0
Blackburn

Edozie (44'), Armstrong (64'), Mara (90+7'), Alcaraz (90+9')
Downes (37'), Smallbone (67'), Aribo (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brittain (26'), Szmodics (67'), Carter (90+10')
Brittain (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Southampton
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 3-1 Blackburn Rovers

Blackburn make the long trip to the South Coast sensing that there is an opportunity to make real headway up the table and into the playoff mix. However, Southampton are due a clinical performance and we feel that may come against opponents who have suffered 10 defeats in 21 league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBlackburn Rovers
45.64% (-0.755 -0.76) 22.92% (0.146 0.15) 31.44% (0.609 0.61)
Both teams to score 63.81% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.88% (-0.403 -0.4)37.12% (0.403 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.68% (-0.438 -0.44)59.32% (0.438 0.44)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (-0.438 -0.44)16.71% (0.439 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.39% (-0.793 -0.79)46.61% (0.793 0.79)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (0.163 0.16)23.38% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (0.234 0.23)57.36% (-0.234 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 45.64%
    Blackburn Rovers 31.44%
    Draw 22.92%
SouthamptonDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.91% (0.076 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.107 0.11)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.44%

How you voted: Southampton vs Blackburn

Southampton
68.2%
Draw
18.2%
Blackburn Rovers
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2005 3pm
Blackburn
3-0
Southampton
Reid (55'), Gamst Pedersen (11'), Jakobsson (48' og.)
Emerton (50'), Reid (74')

Camara (30')
Aug 21, 2004 3pm
Southampton
3-2
Blackburn
Svensson (74'), Phillips (32'), Beattie (90' pen.)
Ferguson (50')
Ferguson (82'), Johansson (90')
Feb 28, 2004 3pm
Oct 25, 2003 3pm
Southampton
2-0
Blackburn
Beattie (59'), Griffit (87')

Todd (60')
Cole (65')
Feb 8, 2003 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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