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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
45.64% ( -0.76) | 22.92% ( 0.15) | 31.44% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 63.81% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.88% ( -0.4) | 37.12% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.68% ( -0.44) | 59.32% ( 0.44) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.29% ( -0.44) | 16.71% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.39% ( -0.79) | 46.61% ( 0.79) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.62% ( 0.16) | 23.38% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( 0.23) | 57.36% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.37% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
4 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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