Watford2 - 1Chesterfield
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
We said: Watford 3-0 Chesterfield
While this is something of a free hit for Chesterfield, they will also want to do themselves justice. Nevertheless, facing Watford on away territory is a big step up, and we anticipate that the Hornets will come through with a comfortable win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 23.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Chesterfield |
54.07% ( 0.06) | 22.1% ( 0.01) | 23.82% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.14% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
