FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2023 at 12.15pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
1 - 0
Portsmouth

Naylor (32')
Naylor (72'), Jones (87'), Palmer (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rafferty (38'), Kamara (77')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Chesterfield and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Kidderminster 1-3 Chesterfield
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 2-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Chesterfield 2-4 Portsmouth

In what could be a thriller between two of the most in-form teams in English football, Portsmouth's class and higher-level experience may just get them over the line. Chesterfield have been near-faultless in the National League though, and they will be tricky customers for Mousinho's side, despite being two divisions below their upcoming opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Portsmouth
27.83%	24.33%	47.84%

Both teams to score 56.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.21%

45.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.89%

68.1%

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.89%

30.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.75%

66.25%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.76%

19.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.06%

50.94%

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 27.83%

Portsmouth 47.84%

Draw 24.32%

Chesterfield	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 6.95% 2-1 @ 6.88% 2-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.14% Total : 27.83%	1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 5.79% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.32%	0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-2 @ 7.87% 1-3 @ 5.19% 0-3 @ 4.32% 2-3 @ 3.12% 1-4 @ 2.14% 0-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.14% Total : 47.84%