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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Watford |
42.36% ( 0.17) | 27.81% ( 0.01) | 29.83% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 46.99% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.38% ( -0.1) | 58.62% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.83% ( -0.08) | 79.17% ( 0.08) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.66% ( 0.04) | 27.34% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.2% ( 0.06) | 62.79% ( -0.06) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.68% ( -0.19) | 35.32% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.92% ( -0.2) | 72.08% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 42.36% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 29.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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