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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Ipswich logo

Watford
1 - 2
Ipswich

Asprilla (12')
Kayembe (46'), Issouf Bayo (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hirst (24'), Morsy (80')
Chaplin (39'), Hirst (45'), Luongo (53'), Hutchinson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-2 Ipswich Town

Ipswich kept their first clean sheet in nine matches last time out, but we cannot imagine them making it successive shutouts on Tuesday night. Another one of the division's big hitters arrives at Vicarage Road in midweek, and we feel that Watford will be unable to stop the Ipswich juggernaut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawIpswich Town
44.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.72% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.27% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.35% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.65% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)67.98% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.8% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)53.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)27.68% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)63.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.04%
    Ipswich Town 31.24%
    Draw 24.71%
WatfordDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 7.4% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 31.24%

How you voted: Watford vs Ipswich

Watford
16.7%
Draw
7.4%
Ipswich Town
75.9%
54
Head to Head
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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