Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford1 - 1Stoke
Livermore (15')
Ismael (15'), Kone (42'), Livermore (45+4'), Chakvetadze (72'), Morris (80')
Issouf Bayo (52')
Ismael (15'), Kone (42'), Livermore (45+4'), Chakvetadze (72'), Morris (80')
Issouf Bayo (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Watford 1-4 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Stoke
Tuesday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship
Tuesday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship
We said: Watford 1-1 Stoke City
On the back of the results on Boxing Day, momentum has shifted into Stoke's favour. However, we cannot ignore Watford's previous form, leading us to back the home side to earn a share of the spoils against the improving Potters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Stoke City |
46.2% ( -0.01) | 24.58% ( 0) | 29.21% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.58% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
