Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
55.96% ( 6.36) | 23.3% ( -1.52) | 20.74% ( -4.85) |
Both teams to score 51.92% ( -1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.97% ( 1.45) | 48.03% ( -1.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.8% ( 1.32) | 70.19% ( -1.32) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.01% ( 2.98) | 16.98% ( -2.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.9% ( 5.05) | 47.09% ( -5.05) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.54% ( -3.64) | 37.45% ( 3.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.76% ( -3.76) | 74.24% ( 3.76) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 10% ( 1.24) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( 1.2) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.7) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.72) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.52) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.32) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.01% Total : 55.95% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.72) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -1.08) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.96) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.9) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.43) Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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