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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Brighton
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Mac Allister (1')
Caicedo (57'), Gross (82'), De Zerbi (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ings (20' pen., 54')
Mings (26'), Cash (79'), Bailey (80'), Young (84'), Kamara (85'), Martinez (90+8'), McGinn (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Aston Villa

Brighton have never won four games in a row in all competitions during their Premier League era, but there is every reason for the Amex faithful to believe that a new chapter of history can be written this weekend, with De Zerbi's side possessing the golden touch in the final third. Villa have also shown plenty of attacking promise under Emery so far, but there will be no quick fix to their abysmal form on the road, and we expect the Seagulls to be flying high before the World Cup break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAston Villa
55.96% (6.364 6.36) 23.3% (-1.519 -1.52) 20.74% (-4.848 -4.85)
Both teams to score 51.92% (-1.048 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.97% (1.451 1.45)48.03% (-1.457 -1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.8% (1.319 1.32)70.19% (-1.322 -1.32)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (2.984 2.98)16.98% (-2.988 -2.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.9% (5.045 5.05)47.09% (-5.051 -5.05)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54% (-3.644 -3.64)37.45% (3.639 3.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.76% (-3.762 -3.76)74.24% (3.758 3.76)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 55.95%
    Aston Villa 20.74%
    Draw 23.29%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 11.27% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 10% (1.235 1.24)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.318 0.32)
3-0 @ 5.91% (1.204 1.2)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.701 0.7)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.724 0.72)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.518 0.52)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.149 0.15)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.318 0.32)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.25 0.25)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 55.95%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.72 -0.72)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.392 -0.39)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.33 -0.33)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 6.25% (-1.076 -1.08)
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.957 -0.96)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.902 -0.9)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.531 -0.53)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.284 -0.28)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.431 -0.43)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 20.74%

How you voted: Brighton vs Aston Villa

Brighton & Hove Albion
72.2%
Draw
14.8%
Aston Villa
13.0%
223
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3.30pm
Brighton
0-2
Aston Villa

Cucurella (16'), Trossard (25'), Bissouma (57'), Veltman (58')
Cash (17'), Watkins (68')
Cash (19'), Luiz (25'), Mings (40'), Watkins (40'), Martinez (83')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Aston Villa
2-0
Brighton
Watkins (84'), Mings (89')
Nakamba (59'), Konsa (90+3'), Cash (90+4')

Cucurella (49'), Webster (67'), Mac Allister (90+3')
Feb 13, 2021 8pm
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Aston Villa
1-2
Brighton
Konsa (47')
Targett (44'), Grealish (90+1')
Welbeck (12'), March (56')
Bissouma (69'), Lamptey (88')
Lamptey (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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