Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Brighton1 - 2Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arsenal 1-3 Brighton
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Man Utd 4-2 Aston Villa
Thursday, November 10 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Thursday, November 10 at 8pm in EFL Cup
We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Aston Villa
Brighton have never won four games in a row in all competitions during their Premier League era, but there is every reason for the Amex faithful to believe that a new chapter of history can be written this weekend, with De Zerbi's side possessing the golden touch in the final third. Villa have also shown plenty of attacking promise under Emery so far, but there will be no quick fix to their abysmal form on the road, and we expect the Seagulls to be flying high before the World Cup break. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
55.96% ( 6.36) | 23.3% ( -1.52) | 20.74% ( -4.85) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
