Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
Falmer Stadium
We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Aston Villa
Brighton have never won four games in a row in all competitions during their Premier League era, but there is every reason for the Amex faithful to believe that a new chapter of history can be written this weekend, with De Zerbi's side possessing the golden touch in the final third.
Villa have also shown plenty of attacking promise under Emery so far, but there will be no quick fix to their abysmal form on the road, and we expect the Seagulls to be flying high before the World Cup break.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 55.96% . A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.74% .
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.82%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%) , while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (6.25%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood .
Result Brighton & Hove Albion Draw Aston Villa 55.96% ( 6.36) 23.3% ( -1.52) 20.74% ( -4.85)
Both teams to score 51.92% ( -1.05)
51.97% ( 1.45) 48.03% ( -1.46)
29.8% ( 1.32) 70.19% ( -1.32)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
83.01% ( 2.98) 16.98% ( -2.99)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 52.9% ( 5.05) 47.09% ( -5.05)
62.54% ( -3.64) 37.45% ( 3.64)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.76% ( -3.76) 74.24% ( 3.76)
Brighton & Hove Albion 55.95%
Aston Villa 20.74%
Draw 23.29%
Brighton & Hove Albion Draw Aston Villa 1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 10% ( 1.24) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( 1.2) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.7) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.72) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.52) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.32) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.01% Total : 55.95% 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.72) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.29% 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -1.08) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.96) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.9) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.43) Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.74%
How you voted: Brighton vs Aston Villa
Brighton & Hove Albion
Draw
Aston Villa
Brighton & Hove Albion
72.2%
223
rhs 2.0
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