Ten Hag will certainly want a competitive match at this stage of his team's preparations for the new campaign, and we are backing that to be the case. It is always difficult to know exactly what to expect, especially as Man United will also play on Sunday, but the Red Devils should have too much quality for their opponents on the afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Lens had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Lens
41.34% ( 0.15)	24.62% ( -0.26)	34.04% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 58.67% (

0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.71% (

1.22)

44.29% (

-1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.33% (

1.17)

66.67% (

-1.17)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.53% (

0.6)

21.47% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.5% (

0.91)

54.5% (

-0.91)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.71% (

0.64)

25.29% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.94% (

0.87)

60.06% (

-0.88)

Score Analysis

Manchester United 41.34%

Lens 34.04%

Draw 24.62%

Manchester United	Draw	Lens
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.34%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.62%	1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.04%