MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:42:03| >> :60:5:5:
Manchester United logo
Club Friendlies
Aug 5, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
Old Trafford
Lens logo

Man Utd
3 - 1
Lens

Rashford (48'), Antony (53'), Casemiro (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sotoca (23')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's friendly clash between Manchester United and Lens.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Manchester United and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Manchester United could line up in Saturday's pre-season friendly with Lens.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 2-3 Dortmund
Monday, July 31 at 2am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Auxerre 1-3 Lens
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Manchester United 2-1 Lens

Ten Hag will certainly want a competitive match at this stage of his team's preparations for the new campaign, and we are backing that to be the case. It is always difficult to know exactly what to expect, especially as Man United will also play on Sunday, but the Red Devils should have too much quality for their opponents on the afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Lens had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawLens
41.34% (0.154 0.15) 24.62% (-0.26 -0.26) 34.04% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 58.67% (0.94600000000001 0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.71% (1.22 1.22)44.29% (-1.222 -1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.33% (1.173 1.17)66.67% (-1.174 -1.17)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.53% (0.59599999999999 0.6)21.47% (-0.599 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.5% (0.91 0.91)54.5% (-0.913 -0.91)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.71% (0.64100000000001 0.64)25.29% (-0.643 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.94% (0.873 0.87)60.06% (-0.876 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 41.34%
    Lens 34.04%
    Draw 24.62%
Manchester UnitedDrawLens
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.35% (-0.294 -0.29)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 41.34%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.122 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.293 -0.29)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.62%
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.259 -0.26)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.106 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 34.04%

How you voted: Man Utd vs Lens

Manchester United
89.1%
Draw
3.1%
Lens
7.8%
64
rhs 2.0
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