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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
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Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Lens logo

Auxerre
1 - 3
Lens

Niang (71')
Jubal (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Claude-Maurice (19', 48'), Openda (78')
Abdul Samed (6'), Haidara (69'), Gradit (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Auxerre
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Auxerre 1-1 Lens

 With second place now assured and nothing significant left to fight for, it would only be natural for Lens to take their foot off the gas a tad, and any complacency should no doubt be capitalised on by an Auxerre side fighting for their lives. Haise's side have often flattered to deceive on the road as well, and while we can envisage a fired-up Auxerre gleaning a point on the final day, such an outcome could still drop them below the dotted line depending on results in Brittany. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.03%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawLens
16.52% (-0.597 -0.6) 23.05% (-0.207 -0.21) 60.43% (0.8 0.8)
Both teams to score 45.44% (-0.562 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11% (-0.123 -0.12)52.88% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5% (-0.105 -0.11)74.49% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.84% (-0.84 -0.84)45.16% (0.83499999999999 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.94% (-0.676 -0.68)81.06% (0.672 0.67)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (0.23699999999999 0.24)17.14% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63% (0.419 0.42)47.37% (-0.424 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 16.52%
    Lens 60.42%
    Draw 23.04%
AuxerreDrawLens
1-0 @ 6.15% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-1 @ 4.31% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 2.45% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.14% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.52%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.04%
0-1 @ 13.65% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 12.03% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 7.08% (0.199 0.2)
1-3 @ 5.63% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.12% (0.112 0.11)
1-4 @ 2.48% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.1% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 60.42%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Lens

Auxerre
20.8%
Draw
26.4%
Lens
52.8%
53
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 4pm
gameweek 19
Lens
1-0
Auxerre
Frankowski (59' pen.)
Mar 14, 2020 2pm
gameweek 29
Auxerre
P-P
Lens
Oct 21, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 11
Lens
0-0
Auxerre

Cahuzac (56')

Barreto (50'), Yattara (54')
Mar 9, 2019 2pm
gameweek 28
Lens
2-0
Auxerre
Gomis (37' pen.), Kyei (78')
Fortes (84'), Haidara (88')

Bellugou (36'), Arcus (45'), Mancini (72')
Mar 7, 2019
12am
Lens  
vs.
  Auxerre
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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