Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Lorient1 - 3Lens
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Lorient
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Reims
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lorient 2-3 Lens
Knowing that they must win to keep their title hopes alive, Lens look set to notch a fifth successive victory this weekend, although the hosts are expected to make life difficult for their visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.67%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Lens |
17.96% ( 0.02) | 24.07% ( 0) | 57.97% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.22% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.36% ( 0.01) | 54.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.03% ( 0.01) | 75.97% ( -0.01) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.61% ( 0.03) | 44.39% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.56% ( 0.02) | 80.44% ( -0.02) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( -0) | 18.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.98% ( -0.01) | 50.01% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Lorient 17.96%
Lens 57.97%
Draw 24.07%
| Lorient | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.59% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.74% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.96% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 8.29% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 13.91% 0-2 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.53% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.3% 0-4 @ 2.74% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 57.97% |
How you voted: Lorient vs Lens
Lorient
24.1%Draw
0.0%Lens
75.9%29
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2023 8pm
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
gameweek 5
Lens
5-2
Lorient
Feb 6, 2022 12pm
gameweek 23
Lorient
2-0
Lens
Apr 11, 2021 2pm
