With suspensions and injuries decimating their squad, Ajaccio need nothing short of a miracle to leave the Stade Bollaert-Delelis with anything to show for their efforts, and Haise's side will not be in any sort of merciful mood.
While we have faith in Pantaloni's men to avoid a third successive 5-0 defeat, a Lens side who often score for fun on their own turf should confirm a second-placed finish in style, with a few goals along the way.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 6.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.17%) and 1-0 (11.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
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