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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
AC Ajaccio

Lens
3 - 0
Ajaccio

Machado (16'), Thomasson (22'), Openda (35' pen.)
Openda (57')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Strata (13'), Gonzalez (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-3 Lens
Sunday, May 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-5 Rennes
Sunday, May 21 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 4-0 Ajaccio

With suspensions and injuries decimating their squad, Ajaccio need nothing short of a miracle to leave the Stade Bollaert-Delelis with anything to show for their efforts, and Haise's side will not be in any sort of merciful mood. While we have faith in Pantaloni's men to avoid a third successive 5-0 defeat, a Lens side who often score for fun on their own turf should confirm a second-placed finish in style, with a few goals along the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 6.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.17%) and 1-0 (11.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawAjaccio
79.39% (0.012 0.01) 14.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01) 6.42% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Both teams to score 39.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27% (0.007000000000005 0.01)41.73% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)64.13% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)8.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)29.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.7% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)57.3% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)89.21% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lens 79.38%
    Ajaccio 6.42%
    Draw 14.19%
LensDrawAjaccio
2-0 @ 14.78%
3-0 @ 12.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.78%
4-1 @ 4.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
5-0 @ 3.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 2.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 79.38%
1-1 @ 6.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 14.19%
0-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 6.42%

How you voted: Lens vs Ajaccio

Lens
90.5%
Draw
0.0%
Ajaccio
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 2pm
gameweek 2
Ajaccio
0-0
Lens

Gonzalez (35'), Mangani (37'), Bayala (42'), Marchetti (59'), El Idrissy (79')

Sotoca (75'), Danso (90+2')
May 1, 2020 7pm
gameweek 36
Lens
P-P
Ajaccio
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
gameweek 18
Ajaccio
1-2
Lens
Laci (12')
Coutadeur (21'), Avinel (84')
Sotoca (57', 71')
Gillet (27')
May 10, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 37
Ajaccio
0-2
Lens

Coutadeur (67'), Hergault (70'), Boe-Kane (90')
Teka (10'), Bellegarde (76')
Mendy (17'), Mesloub (41')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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