Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37

May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
3 - 0
Ajaccio

Machado (16'), Thomasson (22'), Openda (35' pen.)
Openda (57')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Strata (13'), Gonzalez (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 1-3 Lens
Sunday, May 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajaccio

All competitions

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-5 Rennes
Sunday, May 21 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

With suspensions and injuries decimating their squad, Ajaccio need nothing short of a miracle to leave the Stade Bollaert-Delelis with anything to show for their efforts, and Haise's side will not be in any sort of merciful mood. While we have faith in Pantaloni's men to avoid a third successive 5-0 defeat, a Lens side who often score for fun on their own turf should confirm a second-placed finish in style, with a few goals along the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 6.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.17%) and 1-0 (11.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Ajaccio
79.39% ( 0.01)	14.19% ( -0.01)	6.42% ( -0)

Both teams to score 39.09% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.27% (

0.01)

41.73% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.87% (

0.01)

64.13% (

-0.01)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.54% (

0.01)

8.46% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.64% (

0.01)

29.36% (

-0.01)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.7% (

-0.01)

57.3% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.79% (

-0.01)

89.21% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Lens 79.38%

Ajaccio 6.42%

Draw 14.19%

Lens	Draw	Ajaccio
2-0 @ 14.78% 3-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.78% 4-1 @ 4.19% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.71% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.39% Total : 79.38%	1-1 @ 6.67% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 14.19%	0-1 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 6.42%