Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 6.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.17%) and 1-0 (11.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Ajaccio |
79.39% (![]() | 14.19% (![]() | 6.42% (![]() |
Both teams to score 39.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.27% (![]() | 41.73% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.87% (![]() | 64.13% (![]() |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.54% (![]() | 8.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.64% (![]() | 29.36% (![]() |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.7% (![]() | 57.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.79% (![]() | 89.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Ajaccio |
2-0 @ 14.78% 3-0 @ 12.17% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 8.23% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.78% 4-1 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.39% Total : 79.38% | 1-1 @ 6.67% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.29% ( ![]() Other @ 0.38% Total : 14.19% | 0-1 @ 2.7% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.86% ( ![]() Other @ 1.86% Total : 6.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 27 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 79 | 26 | 53 | 71 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 50 |
3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 49 |
4 | Nice | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Lille | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 47 |
6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 46 |
7 | Lyon | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 45 |
8 | Brest | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 40 |
9 | Lens | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Auxerre | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
11 | Toulouse | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 34 |
12 | Rennes | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 32 |
13 | NantesNantes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 27 |
14 | Angers | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 27 |
15 | Reims | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 26 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 57 | -28 | 24 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 63 | -35 | 23 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 27 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |