Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Union SG had a probability of 12.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a Union SG win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.