Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 13.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
13.13% (![]() | 18.64% (![]() | 68.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.03% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.99% (![]() | 41.01% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.6% (![]() | 63.4% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.34% (![]() | 42.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.99% (![]() | 79.01% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89% (![]() | 11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.72% (![]() | 35.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 4% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 1.42% Total : 13.13% | 1-1 @ 8.82% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.15% ( ![]() Other @ 0.98% Total : 18.64% | 0-2 @ 11.43% (![]() 0-1 @ 10.35% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.74% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 8.41% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.68% ( ![]() Other @ 4% Total : 68.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |