MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:06:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Sporting Lisbon

Estoril
0 - 1
Sporting Lisbon


Garcia (76'), Zanocelo (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Paulinho (81')
Coates (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farense 3-2 Estoril
Sunday, May 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-3 Sporting Lisbon

Estoril's home form may have been their biggest strength this season but Sporting Lisbon are the much superior side and will be high on confidence after being crowned champions last weekend, leading us to believe the visitors will be victorious in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 13.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawSporting Lisbon
13.13% (0.282 0.28) 18.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 68.23% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Both teams to score 51.03% (0.863 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.99% (0.712 0.71)41.01% (-0.708 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.6% (0.723 0.72)63.4% (-0.719 -0.72)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.34% (0.892 0.89)42.66% (-0.889 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.99% (0.751 0.75)79.01% (-0.747 -0.75)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89% (0.12899999999999 0.13)11% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.72% (0.28099999999999 0.28)35.28% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 13.13%
    Sporting Lisbon 68.22%
    Draw 18.64%
Estoril PraiaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 3.76% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 1.7% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.18% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.07% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 13.13%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.69% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 18.64%
0-2 @ 11.43% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-1 @ 10.35% (-0.29 -0.29)
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 8.41% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 7.17% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 4.64% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.95% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.098 0.1)
0-5 @ 2.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.75% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.68% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 4%
Total : 68.22%

How you voted: Estoril vs Sporting Lisbon

Estoril Praia
6.3%
Draw
9.4%
Sporting Lisbon
84.4%
32
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2024 6.45pm
Gameweek 16
Sporting Lisbon
5-1
Estoril
Edwards (21', 45+2'), Alvaro (51' og.), Goncalves (69'), Trincao (78')
Adan (82')
Cassiano (82')
Alvaro (39'), Tavares (83'), Mangala (89')
Feb 27, 2023 7pm
Sep 2, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 5
Estoril
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Ndiaye (68'), Vital (73'), Alvaro (81'), Gouveia (84'), Lea Siliki (90+3')
St Juste (13'), Edwards (21')
Edwards (57'), Adan (66'), Rochinha (78'), Coates (83'), Porro (86'), Ugarte (88'), Fatawu (90+3')
Feb 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 23
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Estoril
Goncalves (40'), Reis (76'), Sarabia (81')
Sarabia (50'), Porro (50'), Reis (82')

Ferraresi (45+2'), Joaozinho (54'), Acevedo (86')
Silva (64')
Sep 19, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Estoril
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Figueira (65'), Geraldes (90+4'), Rosier (90+4')
Porro (67' pen.)
Santos (84'), Paulinho (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2471072726131
10Rio AveRio Ave247892739-1229
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!