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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Chaves

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Chaves

Gyokeres (23' pen., 37'), Paulinho (55')
Hjulmand (45+7'), Esgaio (48')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sylla (82')
Pius (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, May 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Chaves

All competitions
Last Game: Chaves 0-1 Famalicao
Friday, May 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Chaves

 Sporting Lisbon have enjoyed a terrific campaign, storming to the league title with an eight-point lead over their closest rival. Amorim's side will look to close out the season on a high and we see them doing just that against a deflated Chaves side who will be playing in the second tier next season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 83.47%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 3-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.45%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawChaves
83.47% (-0.44199999999999 -0.44) 10.36% (0.253 0.25) 6.17% (0.1869 0.19)
Both teams to score 55.51% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.34% (-0.584 -0.58)21.66% (0.583 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.57% (-0.813 -0.81)40.43% (0.811 0.81)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.29% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)3.71% (0.1571 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.06% (-0.523 -0.52)15.94% (0.522 0.52)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)42.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.26% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)78.74% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 83.47%
    Chaves 6.17%
    Draw 10.36%
Sporting LisbonDrawChaves
3-0 @ 9.36% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.53% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 8.04% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 7.71% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.124 0.12)
4-1 @ 6.62% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.18% (0.156 0.16)
5-0 @ 5.08% (-0.112 -0.11)
5-1 @ 4.36% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.85% (-0.026 -0.03)
6-0 @ 2.79% (-0.099 -0.1)
6-1 @ 2.39% (-0.085 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.87% (-0.042 -0.04)
7-0 @ 1.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
7-1 @ 1.13% (-0.056 -0.06)
6-2 @ 1.03% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 83.47%
1-1 @ 4.45% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.15% (0.053 0.05)
0-0 @ 1.57% (0.067 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 10.36%
1-2 @ 1.91% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 1.35% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 6.17%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Chaves

Sporting Lisbon
88.0%
Draw
4.0%
Chaves
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 17
Chaves
0-3
Sporting Lisbon

Correia (62')
Paulinho (44'), Trincao (52'), Goncalves (56')
Coates (71'), Gyokeres (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 21
Chaves
2-3
Sporting Lisbon
Teixeira (34'), Hernandez (90+6')
Goncalves (8' pen., 61'), Santos (70')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 4
Sporting Lisbon
0-2
Chaves

Edwards (36'), Ugarte (45+3'), Goncalves (66'), Morita (73'), Coates (90+4')
Vitoria (60'), Juninho (63')
Pina (67'), Euller (82')
Fernandes (90+4')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 27
Chaves
1-3
Sporting Lisbon
Luis (60')
Jefferson (34'), Luis (40'), Niltinho (99'), Martins (99')
Jefferson (52')
Phellype (23', 101'), Fernandes (80')
Gudelj (37'), Gaspar (99')
Ristovski (87')
Nov 11, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Chaves
Dost (23', 86' pen.)
Gudelj (45')
Niltinho (81')
William (83'), Paulinho (94')
Gallo (71')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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