There were many surprises in the opening matchday of this competition, but we do not believe Martinique have another upset in them on Friday.
Panama have most of their regulars available, and they looked compact and sharp along the backline in their opener, and if they are allowed to have 10 shots on target like El Salvador were, we have to think they will finish off some of those opportunities, given the overall quality they have in the attacking third.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Martinique win it was 1-0 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
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