Panama

4 - 0

Qatar

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.