CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 3, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Levi's Stadium
Mexico0 - 1Qatar
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Haiti 1-3 Mexico
Friday, June 30 at 3am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Friday, June 30 at 3am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mexico | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Haiti | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Qatar | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Honduras | 2 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Mexico 2-0 Qatar
While they have started well in both of their Gold Cup encounters, Qatar have not been able to deliver that killer blow, and they tend to lose their focus at the most inopportune moment. Mexico have looked like a different team since Lozano took over, and even though they are already assured of a place in the last eight, we expect to see another inspired performance from El Tri, who seem to have regained their confidence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.38%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Qatar |
66.7% ( -0.53) | 20.64% ( 0.24) | 12.66% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 43.28% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% ( -0.33) | 50.68% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.41% ( -0.29) | 72.58% ( 0.29) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.67% ( -0.27) | 14.33% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.83% ( -0.52) | 42.17% ( 0.52) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.52% ( 0.27) | 49.48% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.7% ( 0.19) | 84.29% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Mexico 66.69%
Qatar 12.66%
Draw 20.64%
| Mexico | Draw | Qatar |
| 1-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.15% 5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 66.69% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.64% | 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.5% Total : 12.66% |
How you voted: Mexico vs Qatar
Mexico
80.6%Draw
8.3%Qatar
11.1%36
