CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage

Jul 5, 2023 at 2am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Panama
2 - 2
El Salvador

Escobar (26'), Diaz (71')
Martinez (36'), Blackman (37'), Carrasquilla (48'), Londono (90+4'), Blackman (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gil (4'), Gil (90+1')
Orellana (85'), Tamacas (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Panama and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions

CONCACAF Gold Cup

Last Game: Martinique 1-2 Panama
Friday, June 30 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	2	2	6
2	Martinique	2	0	3
3	Costa Rica	2	-1	1
4	El Salvador	2	-1	1

El Salvador

All competitions

CONCACAF Gold Cup

Last Game: El Salvador 0-0 Costa Rica
Saturday, July 1 at 2.06am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	2	2	6
2	Martinique	2	0	3
3	Costa Rica	2	-1	1
4	El Salvador	2	-1	1

We said: Panama 1-0 El Salvador

El Salvador need to step up and show they are a true contending team in this region, but we do not believe they have the personnel to find a way through an experienced Panamanian backline. Even though their Gold Cup journey will continue after this match, Christiansen is thinking long-term, and he will know that their easiest path into the semi-finals would be a first-place finish, something they are guaranteed of doing with a win or draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 13.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Panama	Draw	El Salvador
66.44% ( -0.21)	19.99% ( 0.19)	13.57% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.75% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.98% (

-0.78)

46.02% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.67% (

-0.74)

68.33% (

0.74)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.04% (

-0.3)

12.96% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.56% (

-0.61)

39.44% (

0.61)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.86% (

-0.46)

45.14% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.95% (

-0.37)

81.05% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Panama 66.43%

El Salvador 13.57%

Draw 19.99%

Panama	Draw	El Salvador
2-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.9% Total : 66.43%	1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.99%	0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.26% Total : 13.57%