Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rheinpark Stadion
Liechtenstein0 - 1Luxembourg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-2 Portugal
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portugal | 9 | 32 | 27 |
2 | Slovakia | 9 | 8 | 19 |
3 | Luxembourg | 9 | -7 | 14 |
4 | Iceland | 9 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 9 | -10 | 9 |
6 | Liechtenstein | 9 | -26 | 0 |
Last Game: Luxembourg 4-1 Bosnia H'vina
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portugal | 9 | 32 | 27 |
2 | Slovakia | 9 | 8 | 19 |
3 | Luxembourg | 9 | -7 | 14 |
4 | Iceland | 9 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 9 | -10 | 9 |
6 | Liechtenstein | 9 | -26 | 0 |
We said: Liechtenstein 0-2 Luxembourg
Liechtenstein will have been boosted by their performance against Portugal last time out, but it is very difficult to back them to pick up points in any given match. Luxembourg's qualification campaign has been excellent, and we are expecting them to secure another three points on Sunday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 88.14%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 2.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.95%) and 0-4 (11.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.13%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (1.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.
Result | ||
Liechtenstein | Draw | Luxembourg |
2.87% ( 0.01) | 8.98% ( 0.06) | 88.14% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 31.51% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.41% ( -0.26) | 34.59% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.47% ( -0.3) | 56.53% ( 0.29) |
Liechtenstein Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
33.23% ( -0.13) | 66.77% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
6.26% ( -0.05) | 93.74% ( 0.05) |
Luxembourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.84% ( -0.06) | 5.16% ( 0.06) |