Friendlies 2

Mar 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de Luxembourg

Luxembourg
2 - 1
Kazakhstan

Rodrigues (24'), Sinani (45')
Gerson (41')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sadybekov (2')
Samorodov (54'), Tapalov (78'), Chesnokov (82'), Aymbetov (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 2 clash between Luxembourg and Kazakhstan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions

Last Game: Georgia 2-0 Luxembourg
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	10	34	30
2	Slovakia	10	9	22
3	Luxembourg	10	-6	17
4	Iceland	10	1	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	10	-11	9
6	Liechtenstein	10	-27	0

Kazakhstan

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Greece 5-0 Kazakhstan
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	10	11	22
2	Denmark	10	9	22
3	Finland	10	8	18
4	Kazakhstan	10	4	18
5	Northern Ireland	10	-4	9
6	San Marino	10	-28	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.

Result
Luxembourg	Draw	Kazakhstan
56.54% ( 0.7)	23.93% ( -0.23)	19.53% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 48.16% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.91% (

0.31)

52.09% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.19% (

0.27)

73.81% (

-0.27)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

0.38)

18.26% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.69% (

0.64)

49.3% (

-0.64)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.92% (

-0.34)

41.08% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.37% (

-0.3)

77.62% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Luxembourg 56.53%

Kazakhstan 19.53%

Draw 23.93%

Luxembourg	Draw	Kazakhstan
1-0 @ 12.75% 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.53%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.93%	0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 19.53%