Friendlies 1

Mar 23, 2024 at 5pm UK

Aviva Stadium

Rep. Ireland
0 - 0
Belgium

The Match

Team News

John O'Shea names Caoimhin Kelleher and Sammie Szmodics in his first Republic of Ireland XI for the friendly against Belgium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Republic of Ireland and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions

Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-1 New Zealand
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	8	26	22
2	Netherlands	8	10	18
3	Greece	8	6	13
4	Republic of Ireland	8	-1	6
5	Gibraltar	8	-41	0

Belgium

All competitions

Last Game: Belgium 5-0 Azerbaijan
Sunday, November 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	8	18	20
2	Austria	8	10	19
3	Sweden	8	2	10
4	Azerbaijan	8	-10	7
5	Estonia	8	-20	1

We said: Republic of Ireland 1-2 Belgium

Belgium may be without some big-hitters, but their younger stars have started to shine since Qatar 2022 and they should maintain their momentum in Dublin. The Republic of Ireland are in disarray at the moment, so bridging the gap will surely prove beyond the Boys in Green. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	Belgium
30.76% ( -0.39)	26.01% ( -0)	43.22% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 52.76% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.57% (

-0.14)

51.43% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.76% (

-0.12)

73.24% (

0.12)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.1% (

-0.34)

30.89% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.81% (

-0.4)

67.18% (

0.4)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.35% (

0.13)

23.65% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.25% (

0.19)

57.74% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Republic of Ireland 30.76%

Belgium 43.21%

Draw 26.01%

Republic of Ireland	Draw	Belgium
1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.76%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.21%