MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 03:13:33| >> :600:12815687:12815687:
Belgium national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
Azerbaijan national football team

Belgium
5 - 0
Azerbaijan

Lukaku (17', 26', 30', 37'), Trossard (90')
Theate (22'), Vranckx (45')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Silvestre (20'), Mahammadaliyev (86')
Silvestre (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belgium and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belgium 1-0 Serbia
Wednesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Austria81019
2Belgium71317
3Sweden707
4Azerbaijan7-57
5Estonia7-181
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Azerbaijan 3-0 Sweden
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Austria81019
2Belgium71317
3Sweden707
4Azerbaijan7-57
5Estonia7-181

We said: Belgium 2-0 Azerbaijan

Competition for places - both in Belgium's Euro 2024 squad and their starting XI - should ensure the home side still aim to impress, despite already wrapping up qualification. Replicating an historic achievement just three days after seeing off Sweden will be too much to ask for Azerbaijan, who are set to suffer their fifth defeat from eight Group F games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 13.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
BelgiumDrawAzerbaijan
66.89% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 19.23% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 13.89% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.17% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-0.104 -0.1)41.92% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (-0.104 -0.1)64.33% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.38% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)11.62% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.38% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)36.62% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.9% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)42.1% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.48% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)78.52% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 66.87%
    Azerbaijan 13.89%
    Draw 19.23%
BelgiumDrawAzerbaijan
2-0 @ 11.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.88% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 66.87%
1-1 @ 9.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 19.23%
0-1 @ 4.23% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.94%
0-2 @ 1.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 13.89%

How you voted: Belgium vs Azerbaijan

Belgium
79.1%
Draw
9.3%
Azerbaijan
11.6%
43
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 2pm
Group Stage
Azerbaijan
0-1
Belgium

Seydayev (78')
Carrasco (38')
Doku (90+2'), Batshuayi (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!