Belgium are without several key men, while Serbia have more to build towards this weekend, but the hosts still boast more quality throughout their squad and should have enough to come out on top in Brussels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Serbia win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Serbia
49.98% ( -1.02)	23.72% ( 0.41)	26.29% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 57.18% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.77% (

-1.38)

44.22% (

1.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.4% (

-1.35)

66.6% (

1.35)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.22% (

-0.9)

17.78% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.51% (

-1.57)

48.49% (

1.57)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.54% (

-0.27)

30.45% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.34% (

-0.32)

66.66% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Belgium 49.98%

Serbia 26.29%

Draw 23.72%

Belgium	Draw	Serbia
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.68% Total : 49.98%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.72%	1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.29%