MX23RW : Friday, November 8 19:50:04| >> :60:16:16:
Cape Verde national football team
Friendlies 3
Mar 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
Equatorial Guinea national football team

Cape Verde
1 - 0
Eq Guinea

Cabral (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Cape Verde and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Guyana
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Cambodia
Friday, March 22 at 7pm in International Friendlies

We said: Cape Verde 1-1 Equatorial Guinea

With two in-form teams going head-to-head, we are expecting a keenly-contested affair. We can also see the sides cancelling each other out to settle for a share of the spoils in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 17.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cape Verde in this match.

Result
Cape VerdeDrawEquatorial Guinea
55.96% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 26.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 17.66% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 39% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.77% (0.004999999999999 0)82.23% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)22.7% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.64% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)56.36% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.46% (0.026000000000003 0.03)49.55% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.66% (0.019 0.02)84.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cape Verde 55.95%
    Equatorial Guinea 17.66%
    Draw 26.38%
Cape VerdeDrawEquatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 16.67% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 55.95%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 4.11% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.77% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 17.66%

How you voted: Cape Verde vs Eq Guinea

Cape Verde
61.9%
Draw
28.6%
Equatorial Guinea
9.5%
21
rhs 2.0
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