MX23RW : Friday, June 28 11:42:57| >> :60:865:865:
Germany national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Japan national football team

Germany
1 - 4
Japan

Sane (19')
Sule (25'), Gosens (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ito (11'), Ueda (22'), Asano (90'), Tanaka (90+2')
Itakura (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Germany and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Germany could line up for Saturday's international friendly against Japan in Wolfsburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 0-2 Colombia
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 4-1 Peru
Tuesday, June 20 at 10.55am in International Friendlies

We said: Germany 2-1 Japan

Although Germany have endured a disappointing 12 months - winning just two of their previous eight games across all competitions - Die Mannschaft are bound to bounce back before too long. With that in mind, we expect Flick's men to return to winning ways with a narrow victory over Japan, although the Samurai Blue will likely push the hosts all the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Japan win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
GermanyDrawJapan
44.05% (1.735 1.74) 25.17% (-0.084 -0.08) 30.77% (-1.657 -1.66)
Both teams to score 55.5% (-0.437 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (-0.251 -0.25)47.87% (0.247 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (-0.231 -0.23)70.05% (0.226 0.23)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.705 0.7)21.73% (-0.709 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1% (1.069 1.07)54.89% (-1.073 -1.07)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-1.21 -1.21)29.09% (1.206 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-1.518 -1.52)65.01% (1.514 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Germany 44.05%
    Japan 30.77%
    Draw 25.17%
GermanyDrawJapan
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.171 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.378 0.38)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.267 0.27)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.105 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.13 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 30.77%

How you voted: Germany vs Japan

Germany
68.0%
Draw
9.3%
Japan
22.7%
75
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2022 1pm
Group Stage
Germany
1-2
Japan
Gundogan (33' pen.)
Doan (75'), Asano (83')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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