MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:12:50| >> :60:175:175:
Germany national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
VELTINS-Arena
Colombia national football team

Germany
0 - 2
Colombia


Fullkrug (72'), Henrichs (74'), Gosens (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diaz (54'), Cuadrado (82' pen.)
Lerma (11'), Lorenzo (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Germany and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Tuesday's international friendly against Colombia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Poland 1-0 Germany
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Colombia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 1-0 Iraq
Friday, June 16 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

We said: Germany 2-1 Colombia

 There will seemingly be no quick fix for Germany's defensive problems, and a free-scoring Colombia side should no doubt capitalise on their hosts' recent lapses at the back. However, with a bit more ruthlessness and luck, the hosts could and probably should have made the net ripple against Poland too, and Flick should oversee a narrow success to alleviate some of the pressure on his shoulders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
GermanyDrawColombia
55.38% (11.416 11.42) 23.45% (0.986 0.99) 21.17% (-12.409 -12.41)
Both teams to score 52.08% (-14.475 -14.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (-14.205 -14.21)48.12% (14.197 14.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (-14.511 -14.51)70.29% (14.504 14.5)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77% (-1.133 -1.13)17.23% (1.126 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.47% (-2.027 -2.03)47.52% (2.02 2.02)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.92% (-16.406 -16.41)37.08% (16.399 16.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.13% (-20.599 -20.6)73.86% (20.591 20.59)
Score Analysis
    Germany 55.37%
    Colombia 21.17%
    Draw 23.44%
GermanyDrawColombia
1-0 @ 11.23% (5.15 5.15)
2-0 @ 9.88% (4.326 4.33)
2-1 @ 9.8% (1.05 1.05)
3-0 @ 5.79% (2.411 2.41)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.417 0.42)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-1.348 -1.35)
4-0 @ 2.55% (1.003 1)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.093 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.664 -0.66)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 55.37%
1-1 @ 11.14% (1.557 1.56)
0-0 @ 6.39% (3.058 3.06)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-2.034 -2.03)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-1.263 -1.26)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 6.34% (1.09 1.09)
1-2 @ 5.53% (-2.023 -2.02)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.991 -0.99)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-2.138 -2.14)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-2.015 -2.02)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-1.132 -1.13)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 21.17%

How you voted: Germany vs Colombia

Germany
60.9%
Draw
21.7%
Colombia
17.4%
46
rhs 2.0
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