MX23RW : Friday, June 28 20:03:36| >> :60:671:671:
Germany national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
Peru national football team

Germany
2 - 0
Peru

Fullkrug (12', 33')
Raum (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cartagena (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Germany and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Saturday's international friendly with Peru.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-4 Germany
Thursday, December 1 at 7pm in World Cup

Peru

All competitions
Last Game: Peru 1-0 Bolivia
Sunday, November 20 at 2am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

We said: Germany 2-0 Peru

 Proving to be a sturdy if yet unspectacular outfit under the tutelage of Reynoso so far, Peru travel to Mainz with nothing to lose, but the Incas should not spring any surprises this weekend. Pitting their wits against the big boys has not ended well for Germany in recent times, but Flick's well-stocked squad have quality in abundance and should get the job done with professionalism. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 69.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 12.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Peru win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Germany in this match.

Result
GermanyDrawPeru
69.02% (0.081999999999994 0.08) 18.07% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 12.92% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.47% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.19% (0.161 0.16)38.81% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.88% (0.171 0.17)61.12% (-0.17 -0.17)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.8% (0.063000000000002 0.06)10.2% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.52% (0.145 0.14)33.48% (-0.143 -0.14)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.43% (0.058 0.06)41.57% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.94% (0.053000000000001 0.05)78.06% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Germany 69.01%
    Peru 12.92%
    Draw 18.07%
GermanyDrawPeru
2-0 @ 11.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 7.38% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.8% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.21% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.19% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.92% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 69.01%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.07%
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 12.92%

How you voted: Germany vs Peru

Germany
72.3%
Draw
9.6%
Peru
18.1%
94
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2018 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Germany
2-1
Peru
Brandt (25'), Schulz (85')
Advincula (22')
Advincula (73')
rhs 2.0
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

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Q Belgium Belgium31114
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4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

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Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
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