MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:39:10| >> :60:6:6:
Japan national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 20, 2023 at 10.55am UK
National Olympic Stadium
Peru national football team

Japan
4 - 1
Peru

Ito (22'), Mitoma (37'), Ito (63'), Maeda (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gonzales (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Japan and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 6-0 El Salvador
Thursday, June 15 at 11.10am in International Friendlies

Peru

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 0-1 Peru
Friday, June 16 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

We said: Japan 1-1 Peru

 Both countries will head into Tuesday's friendlies in high spirits after claiming victories last week, but with just one place separating the two nations in the FIFA World Rankings, we think that they could cancel one another out, resulting in the contest finishing all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.23%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
JapanDrawPeru
63.21% (19.246 19.25) 23.56% (1.1 1.1) 13.24% (-20.346 -20.35)
Both teams to score 37.25% (-29.307 -29.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.09% (-25.989 -25.99)59.92% (25.991 25.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.83% (-24.392 -24.39)80.18% (24.394 24.39)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (-2.624 -2.62)18.73% (2.626 2.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.91% (-4.591 -4.59)50.1% (4.593 4.59)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.83% (-33.496 -33.5)54.18% (33.499 33.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.62% (-34.113 -34.11)87.38% (34.115 34.12)
Score Analysis
    Japan 63.19%
    Peru 13.24%
    Draw 23.55%
JapanDrawPeru
1-0 @ 16.99% (10.91 10.91)
2-0 @ 14.23% (8.678 8.68)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.95% (4.57 4.57)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.455 -0.46)
4-0 @ 3.33% (1.786 1.79)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.392 -0.39)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-2.705 -2.71)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.552 0.55)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 63.19%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.827 0.83)
0-0 @ 10.14% (6.811 6.81)
2-2 @ 2.67% (-4.222 -4.22)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.971 0.97)
1-2 @ 3.19% (-4.359 -4.36)
0-2 @ 1.91% (-2.229 -2.23)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 13.24%

How you voted: Japan vs Peru

Japan
55.3%
Draw
25.0%
Peru
19.7%
76
rhs 2.0
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