World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
Teslim Balogun Stadium
Nigeria1 - 1Lesotho
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mozambique 2-3 Nigeria
Monday, October 16 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Monday, October 16 at 4pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Lesotho
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Nigeria 3-1 Lesotho
Nigeria's team is packed with class, and their attacking strength of late has been formidable. While Lesotho have shown improvement in their performances over the last few months, we fancy The Super Eagles to be too strong for The Crocodiles in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 77.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 6.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.94%) and 3-0 (11.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nigeria | Draw | Lesotho |
77.12% ( -0.02) | 15.9% ( 0.02) | 6.98% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 36.46% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.76% ( -0.11) | 47.24% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.53% ( -0.1) | 69.46% ( 0.1) |
| Nigeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.62% ( -0.04) | 10.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.11% ( -0.08) | 33.89% ( 0.07) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.68% ( -0.08) | 59.31% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 9.7% ( -0.04) | 90.29% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Nigeria 77.1%
Lesotho 6.98%
Draw 15.9%
| Nigeria | Draw | Lesotho |
| 2-0 @ 15.79% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 13.94% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 11.92% 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.16% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 77.1% | 1-1 @ 7.28% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.9% | 0-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 6.98% |
How you voted: Nigeria vs Lesotho
Nigeria
88.0%Draw
8.0%Lesotho
4.0%25
Form Guide
