Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 9, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

Ivory Coast
1 - 0
Lesotho

Sangare (16')
Adingra (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kamela (40'), Lesaoana (60')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ivory Coast and Lesotho, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Ivory Coast
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Lesotho

Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Zambia
Sunday, July 16 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

We said: Ivory Coast 1-2 Lesotho

Ivory Coast will be licking their lips as they go up against an opposite side who have failed to win their five games at the qualifiers so far. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we fancy the Black Stars claiming all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 13.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.24%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ivory Coast in this match.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Lesotho
65.37% ( -0.47)	21.3% ( 0.24)	13.33% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 43.2% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.16% (

-0.45)

51.84% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.4% (

-0.39)

73.59% (

0.39)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.87% (

-0.3)

15.12% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.3% (

-0.56)

43.69% (

0.56)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.89% (

0.09)

49.1% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.97% (

0.06)

84.02% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 65.35%

Lesotho 13.33%

Draw 21.3%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Lesotho
1-0 @ 14.02% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 13.24% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 65.35%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.3%	0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 13.33%