MX23RW : Friday, November 8 01:52:17| >> :600:672549:672549:
Ivory Coast national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Lesotho national football team

Ivory Coast
1 - 0
Lesotho

Sangare (16')
Adingra (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kamela (40'), Lesaoana (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ivory Coast and Lesotho, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Ivory Coast
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Zambia
Sunday, July 16 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

We said: Ivory Coast 1-2 Lesotho

Ivory Coast will be licking their lips as they go up against an opposite side who have failed to win their five games at the qualifiers so far. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we fancy the Black Stars claiming all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 13.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.24%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ivory Coast in this match.

Result
Ivory CoastDrawLesotho
65.37% (-0.46900000000001 -0.47) 21.3% (0.236 0.24) 13.33% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 43.2% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16% (-0.451 -0.45)51.84% (0.448 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4% (-0.393 -0.39)73.59% (0.38799999999999 0.39)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.87% (-0.297 -0.3)15.12% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.3% (-0.564 -0.56)43.69% (0.56 0.56)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.89% (0.091000000000001 0.09)49.1% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.97% (0.065 0.06)84.02% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Ivory Coast 65.35%
    Lesotho 13.33%
    Draw 21.3%
Ivory CoastDrawLesotho
1-0 @ 14.02% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 13.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 8.34% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.94% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 65.35%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.43% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.35% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.3%
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 3.55% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.88% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 13.33%

How you voted: Ivory Coast vs Lesotho

Ivory Coast
61.5%
Draw
15.4%
Lesotho
23.1%
13
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